Lineup: This was interesting because I normally choose a speed A to start the order but the only one was a 7 OB in Nick Senzel so I chose to have the three 9 OBs start things off in hopes of getting them more at bats per game. If the three of them can get things started the right way, you follow that with Aquino and his Khrush Davis like card and Dietrich follows with another explosive 7 OB card. Nick Senzel and Turcker Barnhart follow that up before Galvis has a smashing 6 OB card that won't get the advantage often but when it does it could result in some fun dice rolls. Finish is Jose Iglesias bringing a great defensive card to this lineup.
Bench: Jose Peraza is a nice bench player as he can field 3 positions and has B speed so he can pinch run late in games for all the speed Cs that the reds have.
Rotation: I really don't mind this rotation at all for a team that was under .500 I think it stacks up pretty well. Sonny Gray is the stud, sadly he only can give you 5 innings and Luis Castillo is right behind him for a solid 1-2 punch. Newly acquired Trevor Bauer is a big downgrade from last season but in the third pitching spot on this team will still give some good innings to start a game. It does drop drastically from there with Desclafani giving up a home run and same with Mahle. If they are able to go 3-4 innings before giving up a home run I would consider it a victory and give the reds a chance to win the game.
Bullpen: The bullpen brings power hitting Michael Lorenzen, oh wait he doesn't get to bat. He brings a solid bullpen card that is probably the most reliable one to use. Next is backyard brawling Amir Garrett, whos's card I admittedly had a lot of fun with. Stephenson is another good bullpen arm who you probably pair with Lorenzen to get the heart of the orders out. Rasiel Iglesias is consistent, just too bad he's is consistent in getting a home run on his chart in back to back seasons. Gausman is the last one who pitches in mop up duty of games they are way ahead in or way behind.
(For those of you who like fun use this Garrett, if you want normal, use the one below)
((And if you enjoyed this one just wait for the pirates))
The Reds come in at 4760 points with 20 players giving them an average of 238 points per player. Puts them right behind the division winnings Cardinals and 4th in their division which is where they finished.
Astros - 300
Nationals - 295
Twins - 293
Rays - 285
Cubs - 278
Red Sox - 269
Brewers - 268
Indians - 259
Braves - 256
Athletics - 248
Cardinals - 245
Reds - 238
D-Backs - 236
Padres - 233
Phillies - 213
White Sox - 185
Blue Jays - 167
Due to the poll resulting in a tie the next team I release will be the Seattle Mariners
Suarez unsurprisingly leads the way with 5.17 expected runs, with Sucre a half run behind, and Votto and Aquino at 4.25 and 4.245 respectively. What I can say is if this lineup gets to face a lower control pitcher they are going to do some damange. Their charts have a ton of power on them and with a 2 or lower control will put up some silly numbers.
ReplyDeleteRotation: Gray leads the way at 6.57 expected runs which is solid, albeit not as great as you'd hope. Catillo is just over a run behind him, and Bauer is just shy of a run behind Castillo. Desclafani brings up the rear just over 9 expected runs. Not pretty but could be worse I guess? The bullpen is...not great. Lorenzen comes in at 6.57, Stephenson is .11 behind him and Garrett comes in just below 7. None of those guys are lights out but it's some solid depth at least. Iglesias is a bummer at 8.22, and Gausman comes in just over 9, but weighted for IP he comes in just a head of Iglesias.
Overall this team definitely has shortcomings, however you can see how they are building for a more competitive future.
And upon writing this- looks like they're adding Mike Moustakas to the mix!
ReplyDeleteand hes going to play second base, a great upgrade at that position, who is sucre? did you mean winker?
DeleteMassive upgrade and yup haha Sucre's 2018 Devil rays card is the worst card in the entire history of showdown cards and so he's the last person before I enter new cards into my database- right above Winkler.
DeleteHis expected runs total? 0.24
Honest question -- is Moustakas a great upgrade over Dietrich? I think Derek was better last year (and they're similar low OBP with random stretches of great power guys, probably give defensive edge to Derek too).
DeleteFrom a showdown perspective, no!
DeleteDietrich comes in at 3.69 and Moustakas at 3.46, so it's marginal however. Both have very similar cards as you said, low OBP with random power stretches.
In real life however I think it gives them a ton of flexibility, both on the field and in the front office, which is what my comment was geared at.