Wednesday, May 1, 2019

2001 Set: Full 162 Game Season Update - Halfway There!!

Welp, we finally made it! My buddy Jeff and I have played out 85 games of our full season with the 2001 set, so it's time to provide the All-Star Break update. Bad weather and player strikes have delayed the progress of this season, but we grinded out an astonishing 25 games over a 30 hour period this past weekend to finally reach the halfway point. I am still trying to recover from this binge, as I lost my mind quite a few times (more on that coming up... it's a doozy!)

To recap, Jeff and I are playing out a 162 game season with the 2001 set (not the complete set, just the cards we own). We hand roll every pitch and swing, and manually track stats. With a pen. And paper. (My pen has been thrown/spiked at least 100 times - part of the reason we do stats like this is that computers are expensive and I can't take my anger out on them). I previously posted the preview of the season and an update at the 1/4 mark. I'm too lazy to link them here so just scroll down and find them if you want to read it again.

Through 85 games, I have a slim 44-41 lead. The 25 game set over the weekend was not kind to me - I went 11-14 as my pitching went to shit but that's life I guess. Sometimes you give up 3 homers in a game on your advantage, what can you do? (Answer: never start Juan Guzman. EVER! Even if there's a fire!)

Because I'm a narcissist, I'll post my stats first, starting with the hitters:



And here are Jeff's stats - again, hitters first:


Something to note: an asterisk next to a player's name means that player was dropped - literally speaking in one case (I know, I'm such a tease. Just read on!). Here are some notes on the stats that are worth sharing:

Johnny Damon leads the league in average. Who would've thought? Although a red-hot Pudge is closing in fast. He tore me up the last couple series. Unfortunately, Greek God Erubiel Durazo hits behind him, so I can't just walk him whenever I feel like it. 

Yes, you read that right... Juan Pierre did indeed hit a home run. He can't on his own chart, but he did on my pitcher's chart. Why am I starting a pitcher who gives up a bomb? I'm glad you asked! I'll discuss later. 

I recently benched Tatis and am starting Jerry Hairston in his place. Better for me defensively, plus Jerry has provided a nice spark to my offense.

Alex Rodriguez is really effing good, and he's actually clutch (unlike real life, AM I RIGHT???)

Jeff's hitters have combined to get out 205 times on their own chart, or 2.41 times per game. My hitters have done it 157 times, 1.85 times per game. But I assure 150 of them have been with guys in scoring position. 

Hey Joe, why did you drop your entire bullpen and replace them with relievers that are significantly worse? Look at the stats, they all struggled and I need to shake things up. Can't tell you how many games they've lost for me. Actually I could tell you - it's 15. They are responsible for 15 of my 41 losses. So good riddance to them. Even Urbina, who's stats aren't that bad, had to go - he was getting pummeled at the end.

Tav and Matt Morris have saved me... they have been fantastic (24/34 quality starts, plus Tav saves my bullpen). Randy Johnson has been the exact opposite. His season could be over soon.

Jeff's starting rotation continues to struggle (except for one notable game that I will touch on in a bit). Chan Ho Park was supposed to carry the rotation and be the ace, but I have been hitting him hard. I'll thank myself for reverse-jinxing him - I picked Park to win the Cy Young.

Although, there have been moments of bad pitching, Jeff's bullpen has been pretty reliable. Multiple times, Jeff Nelson has come in in the 6th inning, tossed 3 scoreless, and handed the ball to Tom Gordon to shut the door. Sucks the life right out of you.

Look at this Rob Bell cat!! 5-0 in 5 starts - one of the only reasons I've maintained my lead.

Yes, I picked up Tanyon Sturtz and dropped him the next game after he served up a go ahead 2-run blast in extra innings. At least his card remained in one piece...

... Unlike Scott Strickland, who now looks like this:


Don't worry, I have plenty of other copies of him. I even added him back to my team - that's how desperate I am for good bullpen work. Not this card though, an actual fully attached card.



Now that we've covered some of the interesting stats, it's time to delve into notes on the overall season (thoughts, trends, things we've noticed that we didn't realize before, etc.) and the best moments over the second quarter - especially these last 25 games.

Jeff threw a no hitter!!!!! First time in our length Showdown career that this has happened. Unbelievably, it was Travis Harper who started it with 6 innings of no hits and only 2 walks allowed. Nelson went the next 2 and Gordon finished it off. It was a close game too (2-0 final), so stakes were high. Plus I had Tav on the hill, who was saddled with the tough loss. I only got the advantage 3 times the whole game (2 walks and an out). Even more frustrating, the walks were by Stynes and Erstad who both single at 7 and only walk on 5-6. Ichiro made the out on his advantage.

JUAN PIERRE HIT A HOME RUN!!!

An unfortunate and tragic incident befell fan favorite Mark Grace...
He got out on his own chart with runners on 2nd and 3rd with 2 outs. Single probably scores 2 and cuts the lead to 1. Instead he got out, was murdered in the dugout, and had his ashes spread throughout the field. I literally own like 10 of this card so I just popped a new one in the sleeve and carried on like nothing had happened.

Since we're on this topic, lets discuss the other ways I punished my players. Mark Wohlers was added to my bullpen after the purge of the guys I drafted, and immediately brought in some swag and confidence to a reeling team. He's a +5 control, on at 15 reliever, who I would primarily use as a multi-inning weapon in certain matchups. He started out really good, and then just bombed towards the end. His career was cut short after he "fell" off a third floor balcony at Jeff's apartment complex (He didn't fall - I dropped him from the balcony. I literally dropped him off my roster). I actually don't know what happened to the card - we didn't go looking for it after. I'd like to think that a little kid picked it up, fell in love, and is now playing Showdown and will join the blog someday. Or the card got eaten by a squirrel.

I ran Chris Stynes under hot water to try to "heat him up." He's been in quite the funk - gotten out 10 times on his own chart over the last 25 games. That's a lot - it's not like he gets the advantage all that often.

In a moment of madness, I tossed A-rod to the ground after an unclutch out on his chart. Fans were shocked, outraged, scared, sad, and everything in between. I did apologize and rub the card off, and he proceeded to smash a walk-off 3-run bomb of Tom Gordon later in the day. Never again will I treat him so badly.

Interesting trend we noticed... low control pitchers suck! Both Jeff and I have always valued low control pitchers with good charts over higher control pitchers with better charts. For example, I drafted Jamie Wright (+3 control, 1-15 out, no doubles) and Bruce Chen (+2 control, 7 innings, 1-17 out) and Jeff drafted Ryan Dempster (+3 control, 1-17 out) and Hideki Irabu (+3 control, 1-16 out but 17-19 single and 20 double). This did not go well. We were noth basically hoping for 5 innings out of them and turn it over to the bullpen but every inning was a struggle. Just look at the numbers (Wright: 5.44 ERA, 1.88 WHIP; Chen: 6.71 ERA, 2.18 WHIP; Dempster: 8.18 ERA, 2.11 WHIP; Irabu: 9.97 ERA, 1.97 WHIP). I still have Randy Johnson (+3 control, 1-17 out), but he has been getting tattooed recently, and now boasts a 6.71 ERA and 1.75 WHIP. He is close to being cut.

My replacements for Wright and Chen: unsung hero Rob Bell (+6 control, 1-14 out, 19 2B, 20 HR) and Juan Guzman for one start (+4 control, 1-16 out, 20 HR). Guzman was bad and will probably be replaced but Rob Bell has been a revelation: 5-0 in 5 starts, 3.10 ERA and 1.52 WHIP. 

Jeff's replacement has struggled: Tony Armas (+4 control, 1-16 out) has a 6.50 ERA and 1.93 WHIP, Dotel (+6 control, 1-14 out, 19 2B, 20 HR) had a 9.96 ERA and 2.00 WHIP before being dropped, and his replacement Shawn Estes (+5 control, 1-14 out, 20 2B) has a 8.10 ERA and 2.50 WHIP. 

We both agree that the higher control is worth the worse chart, even a chart that gives up a home run. The stats don't necessarily back it up, but these type of pitchers seem to be more capable of getting on good runs then low control pitchers with good charts, since it's so hard to consistently get the advantage. What do you guys think?

Time for first-half awards! MVP is obviously A-rod (318/444/682 slash line, 33 bombs, 87 RBIs). He leads the league in HRs, RBIs, runs, OBP, SLG, OPS and plays great defense. Cy young is close between Tav and Morris. Morris is 10-3, but Tav has more quality starts, has thrown 28 more innings, and saves the pen. I'll lean towards Tav. Rolaids Relief is Jeff's entire bullpen. JC and Kaz have the best numbers (in fewer innings) while Nelson and Gordon are workhorses. Tough call.

Please feel free to chime in - questions, comments, predictions for the second half (who will win the season? Will A-rod continue his MVP season? How many more cards will Joe rip to shreds?) I'd love to hear any feedback you may have.

Until next time!

Joe,

Sunday, April 28, 2019

MLB SHOWDOWN 2018 SET -- Minnesota Twins

The last of the 2018 AL Central teams is finally here. I know its been awhile since the last post..but life has a way of getting in the way. The Minnesota Twins were the only other team of note in the central besides the Indians. Finishing 78-84 they showed flashes of promise and were the only team that people thought going into 2019 would have a shot besides the Indians for the Central. The team itself is very interesting and composed of some rather interesting charts. I think the 2019 Twins will be better on paper than this team but time will tell. I think the team overall is average at best. They are slower than they should be obviously without Buxton. Though the pitching staff is nothing to bypass. The bullpen seems rather week except for one positive note. So lets dive into this team.




Saturday, April 27, 2019

Showdown Challenge #4: Oh, He Hits for the Cycle!


Surprise! Posting this a few days early because I won't be available to post on May 1. Also, there's plenty to celebrate, like it being the weekend, it being the week of Vlad Jr's debut, and, best of all, it's gonna be May! (Sorry, had to). Without further ado, here is #4.

Much has already been written about Bob Gibson's incredible 1968 season. The 1968 season in general was so pitcher-heavy that MLB lowered the mound. We don't have a mechanic for that in Showdown, but we do get to simulate scenarios that otherwise may only take place in Kevin Costner's head. If you make it (it being the 1968 Bob Gibson card, pictured below), they will come. And so, in this challenge you are tasked with building a lineup to face the best Showdown pitcher's card we have, 1968 Bob Gibson.



Monday, April 15, 2019

Happy Jackie Robinson Day

It's April 15, so that can only mean one thing across Major League Baseball, and that is that it is Jackie Robinson Day. We honor the man that broke the color barrier of the game making his MLB debut on this date in 1947. Jackie Robinson Day has been a Major League Holiday since 2004 and requesting that every player on the field wear the number 42, which has been retired across the league since 1997, on Jackie Robinson Day in 2009. If you would like to see more about how Major League Baseball is celebrating the day follow this link. Now for the reason we are all on this site, the Showdown cards, and I took a few stabs at a card to celebrate this day.

Thursday, April 11, 2019

The Krush Test

Over on twitter @mlbshowdowncup there was a discussion about Khris Davis and his dominance the last two days. Thanks to someone saying they tested him on 10 at bats sparking a conversation I decided to go all in on the 2018 set, plus a few pennant run cards that were added. Khris Davis vs the entire pitcher set twice. This would equal out to 546 plate appearances, almost in the sweet spot of where we like our players to be when we are calculating their stats for a cards chart. Now my disclaimer is I really enjoy analyzing stats. This post is probably going to go way over board and for that I don't apologize because I had so much fun doing it. So lets break this thing on down from a number stand point.

Friday, April 5, 2019

Custom Card Tournament

The tournament is back, and after the last one I could not wait to get started on this one. A few slight changes will be happening, I think in the 2 tournaments I ran i used the bench maybe 2-3 times total, there is no point in playing them unless players are getting days off, and since this isn't a season they don't need days off. So that being said a roster with 4 starters 3 relievers and a closer plus the 9 batters of a lineup is 17 roster members, for 5000 points. Taking you from a 250 point average to a 290 point average. Here's the kicker though, if you want a bench your more than welcome to have one, For this tournament a roster size is dependent on the team builder it can be anywhere from 17-20. If you want to load up on bullpen arms, feel free to do so. This tournament will use all the custom cards that I have in my database, mostly consisting of cards from our site, some haven't even been posted. Plus from other creators that I have found online. Since these are custom the points may not always equal the value of the player, so will you use that to your advantage and find some draft steals. There are no Juan Guzman sized mistakes though. I am really looking forward to seeing some of these teams, this could be the deepest and most potent teams yet.
The tournament will begin next Friday, and the cutoff for rosters to be submitted by midnight on Wednesday. The pools are released as it will be a small round robin. 4 three team pools. Winner of each advance to a single elimination round to determine who will meet in the finals.


Monday, April 1, 2019

Showdown Challenge #3: Decent Exposure





Earlier today Commissioner Rob Manfred addressed the expansion of Major League Baseball, announcing the addition of two teams, one being the return of the legendary Montreal Expos. We here at The Greatest MLB Showdown Blog love the Expos and are thrilled to have them back into the mix. We've written extensively on the Expos in the past (including what could have been teams) and now we're excited to introduce a new Expos themed challenge!